Rensselaer Central
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State Rank #172
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #37
Chesterton Regional Rank #10
Rensselaer Central Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 79.4%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Tim Adams Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Charger Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Hoosier Conference Rensselaer Central Sectional Chesterton Regional
Date 8/14 8/27 9/3 9/8 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,306 1,380 1,253 1,302 1,360 1,330 1,370 1,309 1,339 1,301
Team Adjusted Rating 1,324 1,253 1,302 1,341 1,330 1,370 1,283 1,339 1,301
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Tim Adams Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Charger Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Hoosier Conference Rensselaer Central Sectional Chesterton Regional
1,085  Audrey Davisson 12 22:54 22:50 22:14 22:45 22:46 23:03 23:00 22:47 22:53 23:21 22:54
1,208  Audrey Korniak 10 23:09 22:01 23:09 22:31 22:32 23:41 22:42 23:17 23:06 23:17 23:53
1,315  Rheannon Pinkerman 12 23:24 24:23 24:16 23:41 23:56 23:09 23:36 23:37 22:59 23:18 23:04
Solcy Sanchez 12 23:46 22:36 24:02 23:05 23:39 23:57 23:56 24:14 23:52 23:38 23:30
Baylie Wuethrich 12 24:40 24:50 26:26 26:04 27:50 26:10 25:05 24:15
Elizabeth Knoth 12 25:30 22:08 26:31 25:19 25:17 25:16 25:30 25:41 25:32 25:12 25:46
Amy Hendrix 10 26:13 27:11 27:35 27:42 27:16 26:54 26:37 25:55 25:54 25:46
Liberty Bate 10 26:15 27:09 25:50 27:11 25:44 26:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 79.4% 10.0 280 1.6 77.8
Sectionals 100% 5.2 133 0.0 1.7 77.6 20.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Audrey Davisson 0.0% 132.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Audrey Davisson 100% 51.6 100.0% 100.0%
Audrey Korniak 100% 55.4 100.0% 100.0%
Rheannon Pinkerman 100% 59.6 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Audrey Davisson 20.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.8 6.0 8.6 13.6 17.1 17.6 13.7 9.0 5.1
Audrey Korniak 23.4 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.8 7.5 12.1 16.1 17.8 16.0
Rheannon Pinkerman 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.9 6.2 11.2 15.2